Blog: Morgan Stanley hikes chance of WTO-style Brexit to 40% – Reuters

FILE PHOTO: People take photos by the Morgan Stanley building in Times Square in New York City, New York U.S., February 20, 2020. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

LONDON (Reuters) – Investment bank Morgan Stanley has ramped up the risk of Britain and the European Union flopping onto World Trade Organisation terms to 40% from 25%, after the UK signalled a willingness this week to walk away from Brexit talks.

“Although we still expect a deal in the end, the probabilities have shifted,” the bank’s analysts said in a research note.

“The risks are skewed to a harder outcome… bumping up the probability of our bear case of a WTO-style outcome to 40%. We still expect a delay in implementing the deal,” it added.

Reporting by Marc Jones; editing by Thyagaraju Adinarayan

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